Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.096900 0.112190 0.128906 0.148511 0.170846 0.195471 0.224648
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075290 0.095830 0.120265 0.151367 0.189779 0.235535 0.294031
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.061811 0.085544 0.115954 0.157506 0.212498 0.282437 0.377727
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.048939 0.073164 0.106383 0.154786 0.222939 0.314799 0.447153
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.042665 0.068290 0.105587 0.163062 0.248429 0.369343 0.552020
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.036298 0.061938 0.101390 0.165414 0.265278 0.413253 0.646590
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030026 0.054475 0.094140 0.161734 0.272122 0.442699 0.722545
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025402 0.048809 0.088704 0.159833 0.280992 0.475517 0.806310
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023356 0.047217 0.089689 0.168466 0.307655 0.538633 0.943711
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021432 0.045479 0.090080 0.175951 0.332970 0.601691 1.086641
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018166 0.040565 0.083940 0.170760 0.335252 0.625837 1.165853
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015855 0.037144 0.080072 0.169163 0.343604 0.660906 1.266656
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013428 0.033097 0.074483 0.163687 0.344437 0.683314 1.348454
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011620 0.030079 0.070537 0.160948 0.350189 0.715262 1.450746
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010556 0.028575 0.069565 0.164215 0.368210 0.771955 1.604522
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009067 0.025754 0.065251 0.159680 0.369594 0.796403 1.698290
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008563 0.025323 0.066328 0.167230 0.397332 0.875671 1.906871
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007768 0.023969 0.065012 0.169104 0.412885 0.931450 2.072761
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006757 0.021817 0.061406 0.165066 0.414726 0.958751 2.182266
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005975 0.020151 0.058761 0.162976 0.420722 0.995287 2.314050
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005753 0.020109 0.060350 0.171679 0.452983 1.091652 2.581678
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005493 0.019896 0.061446 0.179246 0.483281 1.186134 2.852458
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004779 0.018084 0.057835 0.173938 0.481380 1.207753 2.963429